Sport Picks

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Montpellier vs Aubagne FC

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Zemoura Y.
23' Event
Faiz A.
50' Event
Vidal-Cartoux N.

AI Match Summary

Montpellier in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montpellier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Montpellier
11%
Draws
9%
Aubagne FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Montpellier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montpellier lately — more wins on the board than Aubagne FC.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Montpellier taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 20%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier Aubagne FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs Aubagne FC
3:2
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs Aubagne FC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montpellier Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidal-Cartoux N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndiaye J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Aubagne FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Zemoura Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faiz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier 76 / 100
Aubagne FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier Aubagne FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MNT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aubagne FC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Montpellier found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Montpellier stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier VS Aubagne FC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier

(Home)
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4
Cannes
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2
Aubagne FC
09 May
Red Star
1 : 1
Montpellier
02 May
Montpellier
1 : 2
Clermont
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Aubagne FC

(Away)
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2
Aubagne FC
15 May
Aubagne FC
3 : 1
Caen
09 May
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
01 May
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Stade Briochin
24 Apr
Rouen
3 : 1
Aubagne FC
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