Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Mukiele N.
43'
43'
Ndezi B.
63'
63'
Chennahi T.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 game between Montpellier and Dijon finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
35%
21%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montpellier
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dijon come out ahead of Montpellier on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 10%
Dijon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montpellier | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Dijon
1:1
Feb 7, 2021 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs Dijon
4:2
Sep 27, 2020 Ligue 1
Dijon vs Montpellier
2:2
Jan 25, 2020 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs Dijon
2:1
Dec 4, 2019 Ligue 1
Dijon vs Montpellier
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montpellier Compare
Top Goalscorer Megnan-Pave L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Dijon Compare
Top Goalscorer Lembezat A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montpellier 30 / 100
Dijon 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montpellier Dijon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Montpellier went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Montpellier scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Dijon has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Montpellier VS Dijon
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Montpellier
(Home) 21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1 Montpellier
14 Aug
Nancy
0 : 1 Montpellier
08 Aug
Montpellier
1 : 1 Dijon
01 Aug
Montpellier
4 : 2 Rodez
25 Jul
Clermont
0 : 1 Montpellier
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Montpellier
1 : 1 Dijon
01 Aug
Montpellier
4 : 2 Rodez
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4 Cannes
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2 Le Puy-en-Velay
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2 Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 3
Dijon
(Away) 21 Aug
Clermont
1 : 1 Dijon
14 Aug
Dijon
0 : 1 Pau
08 Aug
Montpellier
1 : 1 Dijon
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2 Dijon
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3 Dijon
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Clermont
1 : 1 Dijon
08 Aug
Montpellier
1 : 1 Dijon
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2 Dijon
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3 Dijon
22 Jul
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 2 Dijon
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montpellier | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Annecy | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 5 | Dunkerque | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Metz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Nancy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Sochaux | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Rodez | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Laval | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 12 | Pau | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Reims | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 14 | Dijon | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 16 | Clermont | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 17 | Grenoble | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 18 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)
