Sport Picks
Montpellier vs Dijon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 2 Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier 
Match Events
27'
27'
Mukiele N.
43'
43'
Ndezi B.
63'
63'
Chennahi T.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 game between Montpellier and Dijon finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dijon come out ahead of Montpellier on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Montpellier taking it.
- Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 20%
Dijon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montpellier | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Dijon
1:1
Feb 7, 2021 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs Dijon
4:2
Sep 27, 2020 Ligue 1
Dijon vs Montpellier
2:2
Jan 25, 2020 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs Dijon
2:1
Dec 4, 2019 Ligue 1
Dijon vs Montpellier
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montpellier Compare
Top Goalscorer Megnan-Pave L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Dijon Compare
Top Goalscorer Lembezat A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montpellier 36 / 100
Dijon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montpellier Dijon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Montpellier scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Dijon has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Montpellier has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Montpellier VS Dijon
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Montpellier
(Home) 18 Sept
Reims
1 : 1 Montpellier
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0 Pau
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1 Montpellier
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0 Boulogne
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1 Montpellier
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0 Pau
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0 Boulogne
08 Aug
Montpellier
1 : 1 Dijon
01 Aug
Montpellier
4 : 2 Rodez
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4 Cannes
Page 1 of 3
Dijon
(Away) 02 Oct
Dijon
2 : 2 Troyes
18 Sept
Annecy
1 : 2 Dijon
11 Sept
Dijon
3 : 2 Laval
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1 Dijon
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3 St Etienne
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Annecy
1 : 2 Dijon
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1 Dijon
21 Aug
Clermont
1 : 1 Dijon
08 Aug
Montpellier
1 : 1 Dijon
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2 Dijon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 2 | Red Star | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Reims | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Montpellier | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 12 |
| 5 | Metz | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Nancy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Annecy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Sochaux | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:5 | 10 |
| 9 | Dijon | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Pau | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 14 | Rodez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Clermont | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 18 | Laval | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 5 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)
