Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montpellier vs Le Puy-en-Velay

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Issoufou Y.
53' Event
Ndiaye J.
56' Event
Nsingi P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Montpellier in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montpellier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Montpellier
30%
Draws
33%
Le Puy-en-Velay
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montpellier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Montpellier have won more games recently than Le Puy-en-Velay.
  • Win probability leans Montpellier's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 20%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier Le Puy-en-Velay
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs Le Puy-en-Velay
5:2
Dec 21, 2024 Coupe de France
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Montpellier
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montpellier Compare

Top Goalscorer Issoufou Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndiaye J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Top Goalscorer Gauthier A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier 42 / 100
Le Puy-en-Velay 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier Le Puy-en-Velay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Montpellier scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Le Puy-en-Velay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Montpellier stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier VS Le Puy-en-Velay
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier

(Home)
18 Sept
Reims
1 : 1
Montpellier
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0
Pau
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
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Le Puy-en-Velay

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Thionville
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
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