Sport Picks
Montpellier vs Red Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 2 Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier 
AI Match Summary
Montpellier host Red Star in the Ligue 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Red Star have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Montpellier have conceded 1 and scored 1.66. Head-to-head, Montpellier have won 2 to Red Star's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.06, favoring Montpellier. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Montpellier come out ahead of Red Star on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Montpellier's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montpellier | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montpellier scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Red Star conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Montpellier remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Montpellier
(Home)Red Star
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 2 | Red Star | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Reims | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Nancy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Annecy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 7 | Pau | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Sochaux | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:6 | 11 |
| 9 | Metz | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Dijon | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 13 | Nantes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 15 | Rodez | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 17 | Clermont | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 18 | Laval | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 5 |
