Sport Picks
Montpellier vs Troyes
France
Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier 
Match Events
3'
3'
Adeline M.
Assist: Bentayeb T.
4'
4'
Chennahi T.
Assist: Mendy A.
40'
40'
Junior Pereira da Silva E.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Montpellier and Troyes finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Troyes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Troyes come out ahead of Montpellier on wins alone.
- Troyes are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 16%
Troyes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montpellier | Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Troyes
2:2
Aug 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Montpellier
1:0
Feb 19, 2023 Ligue 1
Troyes vs Montpellier
0:1
Aug 7, 2022 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs Troyes
3:2
Jan 19, 2022 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs Troyes
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montpellier Compare
Top Goalscorer Chennahi T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mendy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Troyes Compare
Top Goalscorer Adeline M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bentayeb T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montpellier 15 / 100
Troyes 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montpellier Troyes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Montpellier scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Montpellier went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Troyes has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Montpellier VS Troyes
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Montpellier
(Home) 25 Jul
Clermont
0 : 1 Montpellier
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4 Cannes
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2 Le Puy-en-Velay
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2 Aubagne FC
09 May
Red Star
1 : 1 Montpellier
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4 Cannes
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2 Le Puy-en-Velay
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2 Aubagne FC
02 May
Montpellier
1 : 2 Clermont
17 Apr
Montpellier
2 : 1 Grenoble
Page 1 of 3
Troyes
(Away) 25 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 3 Troyes
18 Jul
Troyes
1 : 0 Red Star
11 Jul
Nancy
1 : 3 Troyes
09 May
Grenoble
1 : 0 Troyes
02 May
Troyes
4 : 0 Laval
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 3 Troyes
11 Jul
Nancy
1 : 3 Troyes
09 May
Grenoble
1 : 0 Troyes
25 Apr
St Etienne
0 : 3 Troyes
13 Apr
Rodez
2 : 1 Troyes
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Troyes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60:33 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 50:31 | 62 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:38 | 60 |
| 4 | Red Star | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 45:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Rodez | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:39 | 58 |
| 6 | Reims | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 53:35 | 56 |
| 7 | Annecy | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 9 | Pau | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 48:62 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 53:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:49 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 33:39 | 39 |
| 13 | Clermont | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:44 | 37 |
| 14 | Nancy | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:49 | 36 |
| 16 | Laval | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 30:48 | 32 |
| 17 | Bastia | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:39 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens SC | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 37:65 | 24 |
| 19 | AC Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)
