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Stadium Background

Montpellier W vs Le Havre W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7, Montpellier
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Montpellier W
35%
Draws
50%
Le Havre W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Le Havre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Montpellier W haven't matched Le Havre W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Le Havre W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Le Havre W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Le Havre W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 20%
Le Havre W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier W Le Havre W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.42 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Le Havre W
2:3
Oct 17, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Le Havre W
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Le Havre W
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs Montpellier W
3:2
Jan 25, 2025 Coupe de France Women
Montpellier W vs Le Havre W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier W 31 / 100
Le Havre W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier W Le Havre W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre W let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Montpellier W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Montpellier W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier W VS Le Havre W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier W

(Home)
20 Oct
Montpellier W
2 : 3
Le Havre W
17 Oct
Montpellier W
1 : 1
Le Havre W
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
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Le Havre W

(Away)
20 Oct
Montpellier W
2 : 3
Le Havre W
17 Oct
Montpellier W
1 : 1
Le Havre W
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Strasbourg W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
3 Auxerre W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
4 Lens W 4 2 0 2 6:5 7
5 Thonon Evian W 4 3 0 1 7:11 7
6 Fleury 91 W 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
7 Le Mans W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
8 St Etienne W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
9 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
10 Roubaix W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
11 Saint-Malo W 3 2 0 1 4:2 5
12 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
13 Montpellier W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
14 Cannes W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
15 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
16 Lille W 4 0 0 4 5:8 2
17 Nice W 3 1 0 2 4:9 2
18 Bourges 18 W 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
19 Toulouse W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)