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Montpellier W vs Toulouse W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Montpellier W
30%
Draws
12%
Toulouse W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montpellier W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toulouse W lately — more wins on the board than Montpellier W.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Montpellier W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Montpellier W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 16%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montpellier W Toulouse W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.31 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Toulouse W
5:1
Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Montpellier W vs Toulouse W
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Montpellier W
0:3
Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Montpellier W vs Toulouse W
1:0
Dec 16, 2012 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Toulouse W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montpellier W 84 / 100
Toulouse W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montpellier W Toulouse W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montpellier W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Toulouse W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Montpellier W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montpellier W VS Toulouse W
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montpellier W

(Home)
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
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Toulouse W

(Away)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
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