Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montreal Roses FC W vs AFC Toronto W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

NSL Women Stade Boreale, Laval, QC
Montreal Roses FC W Logo

Montreal Roses FC W

2 - 2
FT
AFC Toronto W Logo

AFC Toronto W

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Whitaker H.
Assist: Bennett E.
24'
Rollins S.
38'
Bilbault C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NSL Women game between Montreal Roses FC W and AFC Toronto W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Montreal Roses FC W
35%
Draws
37%
AFC Toronto W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AFC Toronto W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • AFC Toronto W have managed 1.65 goals a game lately — Montreal Roses FC W are scoring more at 1.74.
  • Montreal Roses FC W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 13%
AFC Toronto W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montreal Roses FC W AFC Toronto W
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.74 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs AFC Toronto W
2:2
Aug 16, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W
0:2
Jul 23, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs AFC Toronto W
0:2
Jun 13, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W
1:1
May 10, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montreal Roses FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Whitaker H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pierre-Louis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

AFC Toronto W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Small N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montreal Roses FC W 48 / 100
AFC Toronto W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montreal Roses FC W AFC Toronto W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montreal Roses FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montreal Roses FC W scored in 83% of their last 23 outings.

Recent resilience: Montreal Roses FC W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

AFC Toronto W let in goals in 61% of their last 23 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Montreal Roses FC W VS AFC Toronto W
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montreal Roses FC W

(Home)
02 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
0 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
27 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Montreal Roses FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
10 Sept
Montreal Roses FC W
2 : 2
AFC Toronto W
06 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 3
Montreal Roses FC W
Page 1 of 5

AFC Toronto W

(Away)
04 Oct
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
26 Sept
AFC Toronto W
3 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
19 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
1 : 1
AFC Toronto W
10 Sept
Montreal Roses FC W
2 : 2
AFC Toronto W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 23 11 8 4 40:25 41
2 AFC Toronto W 22 10 7 5 36:21 37
3 Ottawa Rapid FC W 22 11 3 8 42:39 36
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 22 8 3 11 41:47 27
5 Halifax Tides FC W 22 7 5 10 19:19 26
6 Calgary Wild FC W 23 4 6 13 25:52 18
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)