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Montreal Roses FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

NSL Women Stade Boreale, Laval, QC
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Stewart T.
(Penalty)
45'
Pierre-Louis A.
45' Event
Alidou d'Anjou M.
Assist: Bennett E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Montreal Roses FC W
35%
Draws
35%
Calgary Wild FC W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montreal Roses FC W lately — more wins on the board than Calgary Wild FC W.
  • Montreal Roses FC W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 15%
Calgary Wild FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montreal Roses FC W Calgary Wild FC W
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.74 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
2:2
Jul 18, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
0:2
Jun 21, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
1:1
May 16, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montreal Roses FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Alidou d'Anjou M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bennett E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Calgary Wild FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Baucom J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montreal Roses FC W 41 / 100
Calgary Wild FC W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montreal Roses FC W Calgary Wild FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montreal Roses FC W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (23 games).

Calgary Wild FC W let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.

Solid form: Montreal Roses FC W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Montreal Roses FC W VS Calgary Wild FC W
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Montreal Roses FC W

(Home)
02 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
0 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
27 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Montreal Roses FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
10 Sept
Montreal Roses FC W
2 : 2
AFC Toronto W
06 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 3
Montreal Roses FC W
Page 1 of 5

Calgary Wild FC W

(Away)
03 Oct
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
12 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
1 : 0
Halifax Tides FC W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 23 11 8 4 40:25 41
2 AFC Toronto W 22 10 7 5 36:21 37
3 Ottawa Rapid FC W 22 11 3 8 42:39 36
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 22 8 3 11 41:47 27
5 Halifax Tides FC W 22 7 5 10 19:19 26
6 Calgary Wild FC W 23 4 6 13 25:52 18
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)