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Montreal Roses FC W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

NSL Women Stade Boreale, Laval, QC
Montreal Roses FC W Logo

Montreal Roses FC W

1 - 0
FT
Ottawa Rapid FC W Logo

Ottawa Rapid FC W

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Golen N. In: Choo Hyo-Joo
Out: Golen N.
60'
Sub
Heilferty A. In: Whitaker H.
Out: Heilferty A.
67'
Sub
Fridlund J. In: Okobi-Okeoghene N.
Out: Fridlund J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montreal Roses FC W in this NSL Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montreal Roses FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Montreal Roses FC W
35%
Draws
32%
Ottawa Rapid FC W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Ottawa Rapid FC W have won more games recently than Montreal Roses FC W.
  • Montreal Roses FC W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular NSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 16%
Ottawa Rapid FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montreal Roses FC W Ottawa Rapid FC W
Matches Played 25 25
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 3
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.72 2
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W
1:0
Oct 2, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W
0:0
Sep 6, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
2:3
Jun 25, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W
1:2
May 23, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montreal Roses FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boychuk T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Ottawa Rapid FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montreal Roses FC W 57 / 100
Ottawa Rapid FC W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montreal Roses FC W Ottawa Rapid FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montreal Roses FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montreal Roses FC W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (25 games).

Ottawa Rapid FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 25 matches.

Solid form: Montreal Roses FC W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Montreal Roses FC W VS Ottawa Rapid FC W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Montreal Roses FC W

(Home)
23 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
1 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
17 Oct
Halifax Tides FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
02 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
0 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
27 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Montreal Roses FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
Page 1 of 5

Ottawa Rapid FC W

(Away)
23 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
1 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
18 Oct
Ottawa Rapid FC W
5 : 2
Vancouver Rise FC W
02 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
0 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
26 Sept
AFC Toronto W
3 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 25 12 9 4 43:27 45
2 Ottawa Rapid FC W 25 12 4 9 49:44 40
3 AFC Toronto W 25 10 9 6 38:24 39
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 25 9 4 12 47:55 31
5 Halifax Tides FC W 25 7 8 10 24:24 29
6 Calgary Wild FC W 25 5 6 14 28:55 21
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)