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Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

NSL Women Stade Boreale, Laval, QC
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Vancouver Rise FC W have shipped 2.34 goals a game lately, while Montreal Roses FC W have conceded 1.08 and scored 1.72. Past meetings favor Montreal Roses FC W slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.56, favoring Montreal Roses FC W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Montreal Roses FC W
35%
Draws
24%
Vancouver Rise FC W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montreal Roses FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montreal Roses FC W come out ahead of Vancouver Rise FC W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Montreal Roses FC W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Montreal Roses FC W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Montreal Roses FC W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 15%
Vancouver Rise FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montreal Roses FC W Vancouver Rise FC W
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 3
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.72 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.08 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
2:2
Jul 30, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs Montreal Roses FC W
3:4
Jul 4, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
5:1
May 30, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
2:3
May 2, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montreal Roses FC W 75 / 100
Vancouver Rise FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montreal Roses FC W Vancouver Rise FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montreal Roses FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montreal Roses FC W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Vancouver Rise FC W let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Montreal Roses FC W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montreal Roses FC W VS Vancouver Rise FC W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Montreal Roses FC W

(Home)
23 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
1 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
17 Oct
Halifax Tides FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
02 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
0 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
27 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Montreal Roses FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
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Vancouver Rise FC W

(Away)
25 Oct
Vancouver Rise FC W
3 : 2
Calgary Wild FC W
18 Oct
Ottawa Rapid FC W
5 : 2
Vancouver Rise FC W
04 Oct
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Montreal Roses FC W -
Vancouver Rise FC W -
Ottawa Rapid FC W -
AFC Toronto W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -