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Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W

Canada Canada

NSL Women Stade Boreale, Laval, QC
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Badu E.
Assist: Paquin N.
20'
Bilbault C.
42' Event
de Filippo J.
Assist: Abdu L.

AI Match Summary

Montreal Roses FC W in this NSL Women matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montreal Roses FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Montreal Roses FC W
6%
Draws
4%
Vancouver Rise FC W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Montreal Roses FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montreal Roses FC W lately — more wins on the board than Vancouver Rise FC W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Montreal Roses FC W taking it.
  • Regular NSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Montreal Roses FC W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 14%
Vancouver Rise FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montreal Roses FC W Vancouver Rise FC W
Matches Played 13 17
Wins 7 6
Draws 3 1
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
5:1
May 30, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
2:3
May 2, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montreal Roses FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Badu E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bennett E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vancouver Rise FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer de Filippo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montreal Roses FC W 84 / 100
Vancouver Rise FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montreal Roses FC W Vancouver Rise FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montreal Roses FC W found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (13 games).

Vancouver Rise FC W let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Montreal Roses FC W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montreal Roses FC W VS Vancouver Rise FC W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Montreal Roses FC W

(Home)
23 Jul
Montreal Roses FC W
0 : 2
AFC Toronto W
18 Jul
Calgary Wild FC W
0 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
12 Jul
Montreal Roses FC W
1 : 0
Halifax Tides FC W
04 Jul
Montreal Roses FC W
5 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
25 Jun
Montreal Roses FC W
1 : 2
Ottawa Rapid FC W
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Vancouver Rise FC W

(Away)
25 Jul
Vancouver Rise FC W
0 : 1
Halifax Tides FC W
18 Jul
AFC Toronto W
0 : 3
Vancouver Rise FC W
11 Jul
Calgary Wild FC W
2 : 4
Vancouver Rise FC W
04 Jul
Montreal Roses FC W
5 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
28 Jun
Vancouver Rise FC W
1 : 3
AFC Toronto W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ottawa Rapid FC W13101230:1531
2Montreal Roses FC W1373324:1324
3AFC Toronto W1253417:1318
4Halifax Tides FC W1352615:1217
5Vancouver Rise FC W1351720:3016
6Calgary Wild FC W1202109:322
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)