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Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W

Canada Canada

NSL Women Stade Boreale
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bennett E.
Assist: Pechersky E.
16' Event
Bout A.
35'
Cappadona L.

AI Match Summary

The NSL Women game between Montreal Roses FC W and Vancouver Rise FC W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vancouver Rise FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Montreal Roses FC W
6%
Draws
4%
Vancouver Rise FC W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Montreal Roses FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Montreal Roses FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Montreal Roses FC W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Montreal Roses FC W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 17%
Vancouver Rise FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montreal Roses FC W Vancouver Rise FC W
Matches Played 12 16
Wins 7 6
Draws 3 1
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
5:1
May 30, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
2:3
May 2, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montreal Roses FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paquin N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vancouver Rise FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bout A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Longhurst J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montreal Roses FC W 84 / 100
Vancouver Rise FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montreal Roses FC W Vancouver Rise FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montreal Roses FC W's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Vancouver Rise FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 16 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Montreal Roses FC W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montreal Roses FC W VS Vancouver Rise FC W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ottawa Rapid FC W1291228:1428
2Montreal Roses FC W1273224:1124
3Vancouver Rise FC W1251620:2916
4AFC Toronto W1143415:1315
5Halifax Tides FC W1242614:1214
6Calgary Wild FC W110298:302