Sport Picks
Montrose vs Aberdeen B
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Links Park, Montrose 
Match Events
7'
7'
Duncan R.
Assist: Stewart A.
33'
33'
Towler E.
Assist: Gibson L.
39'
39'
Loudon E.
Assist: Machado M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Montrose advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montrose
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Montrose carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Montrose have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Montrose, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Montrose Clean Sheet 11%
Aberdeen B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montrose | Aberdeen B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 2.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.49 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2025 Challenge Cup
Montrose vs Aberdeen B
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montrose Compare
Top Goalscorer Towler E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Loudon E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.74
Aberdeen B Compare
Top Goalscorer Duncan R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montrose 29 / 100
Aberdeen B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montrose Aberdeen B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montrose Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montrose's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Aberdeen B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Montrose stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Montrose VS Aberdeen B
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.6
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Montrose
(Home) 26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Montrose
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2 Montrose
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2 Montrose
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1 Cove Rangers
08 Sept
Montrose
3 : 2 Dundee FC B
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1 Cove Rangers
08 Sept
Montrose
3 : 2 Dundee FC B
29 Aug
Montrose
2 : 1 Queen of the South
25 Aug
Montrose
3 : 0 Clyde
22 Aug
Montrose
3 : 0 East Kilbride
Page 1 of 4
Aberdeen B
(Away) 26 Sept
Cove Rangers
2 : 1 Aberdeen B
22 Sept
Banks O' Dee
2 : 1 Aberdeen B
08 Sept
Ross County
3 : 4 Aberdeen B
25 Aug
Fraserburgh
1 : 1 Aberdeen B
11 Aug
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3 Aberdeen B
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cove Rangers
2 : 1 Aberdeen B
22 Sept
Banks O' Dee
2 : 1 Aberdeen B
08 Sept
Ross County
3 : 4 Aberdeen B
25 Aug
Fraserburgh
1 : 1 Aberdeen B
11 Aug
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3 Aberdeen B
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 4 | East Fife | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 6 | East Kilbride | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Spartans | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Elgin City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Dumbarton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Annan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 15 | Clyde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Queen of the South | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Hamilton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 9 |
| 18 | Stirling | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 19 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 20 | Peterhead | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Celtic B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 22 | Hearts B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 23 | Hibernian B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 24 | St. Mirren B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 25 | Dundee Utd B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:18 | 3 |
| 26 | Aberdeen B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
| 27 | Motherwell B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | 1 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 0 |
| 29 | Kilmarnock B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:19 | 0 |
| 30 | Dundee FC B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:21 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
