Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montrose vs Aberdeen B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Links Park
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Duncan R.
Assist: Stewart A.
33' Event
Towler E.
Assist: Gibson L.
39' Event
Loudon E.
Assist: Machado M.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge Cup game between Montrose and Aberdeen B finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montrose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Montrose
28%
Draws
22%
Aberdeen B
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Montrose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Montrose carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Montrose a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in Challenge Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Montrose Clean Sheet 10%
Aberdeen B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montrose Aberdeen B
Matches Played 28 21
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.5 2.4
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Challenge Cup
Montrose vs Aberdeen B
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montrose Compare

Top Goalscorer Towler E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Loudon E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aberdeen B Compare

Top Goalscorer Duncan R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.18
Avg xA / game 1.33

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose 47 / 100
Aberdeen B 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montrose Aberdeen B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montrose's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Aberdeen B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 21 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Montrose went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montrose VS Aberdeen B
1.5 Goals Scored 2.4
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.6
88% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210