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Montrose vs Alloa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One Links Park, Montrose
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montrose host Alloa in the League One. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Montrose have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Alloa's 1.41 scored and 1.34 conceded. Past meetings favor Alloa slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.56, favoring Montrose. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Montrose
20%
Draws
29%
Alloa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montrose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Montrose carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Montrose a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Montrose Clean Sheet 15%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montrose Alloa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League One
Alloa vs Montrose
3:0
Mar 14, 2026 League One
Montrose vs Alloa
5:4
Jan 20, 2026 League One
Alloa vs Montrose
4:1
Nov 8, 2025 League One
Montrose vs Alloa
0:4
Sep 13, 2025 League One
Alloa vs Montrose
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose 41 / 100
Alloa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montrose Alloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Montrose scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Alloa conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Montrose remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montrose VS Alloa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montrose

(Home)
24 Oct
Montrose
3 : 0
Peterhead
17 Oct
East Kilbride
1 : 1
Montrose
13 Oct
Montrose
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
10 Oct
Montrose
0 : 5
Ross County
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
Page 1 of 6

Alloa

(Away)
24 Oct
Alloa
0 : 1
Queen of the South
17 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3
Alloa
13 Oct
Annan
0 : 0
Alloa
10 Oct
Alloa
0 : 3
Hamilton
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 12 10 2 0 43:7 32
2 Hamilton 12 10 2 0 26:5 32
3 Montrose 12 6 1 5 17:20 19
4 East Kilbride 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
5 Airdrieonians 12 3 4 5 10:19 13
6 Queen of the South 12 4 1 7 13:34 13
7 Alloa 12 3 3 6 12:14 12
8 Peterhead 12 3 1 8 9:20 10
9 East Fife 12 1 6 5 9:16 9
10 Cove Rangers 11 1 3 7 9:18 6
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)