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Montrose vs Civil Service Strollers

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montrose play Civil Service Strollers in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Montrose averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Civil Service Strollers averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. In past meetings, Montrose won 1, Civil Service Strollers won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 1, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Montrose and 1.31 for Civil Service Strollers. This points to a Montrose double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Montrose
35%
Draws
28%
Civil Service Strollers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montrose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Montrose picked up more points recently compared to Civil Service Strollers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Montrose Clean Sheet 18%
Civil Service Strollers Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montrose Civil Service Strollers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.68 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Montrose vs Civil Service Strollers
1:1
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Civil Service Strollers vs Montrose
2:2
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Montrose vs Civil Service Strollers
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montrose Compare

Top Goalscorer Webster G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Civil Service Strollers Compare

Top Goalscorer Laird M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose 37 / 100
Civil Service Strollers 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montrose Civil Service Strollers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Montrose or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Montrose attacking → ← attacking Civil Service Strollers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montrose scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Civil Service Strollers let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Montrose went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Civil Service Strollers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 31
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75