Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Brown C.
63'
63'
Aiken M.
75'
75'
Lyons B.
AI Match Summary
Montrose in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montrose
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Spartans haven't matched Montrose's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Montrose have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Montrose, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Montrose Clean Sheet 14%
Spartans Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montrose | Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 League Cup
Montrose vs Spartans
0:2
Dec 22, 2025 Challenge Cup
Montrose vs Spartans
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Montrose vs Spartans
3:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Spartans vs Montrose
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montrose Compare
Top Goalscorer Brown C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lyons B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Spartans Compare
Top Goalscorer Aiken M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montrose 31 / 100
Spartans 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montrose Spartans
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Montrose scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Spartans let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Montrose has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Montrose VS Spartans
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Montrose
(Home) 26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Montrose
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2 Montrose
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2 Montrose
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1 Cove Rangers
08 Sept
Montrose
3 : 2 Dundee FC B
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12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1 Cove Rangers
08 Sept
Montrose
3 : 2 Dundee FC B
29 Aug
Montrose
2 : 1 Queen of the South
25 Aug
Montrose
3 : 0 Clyde
22 Aug
Montrose
3 : 0 East Kilbride
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Spartans
(Away) 25 Sept
Spartans
1 : 0 Dundee FC B
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0 Spartans
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0 Spartans
12 Sept
Spartans
5 : 1 Forfar Athletic
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4 Hamilton
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22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0 Spartans
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0 Spartans
05 Sept
Stirling
0 : 2 Spartans
15 Aug
Stranraer
1 : 0 Spartans
11 Aug
East Fife
2 : 2 Spartans
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Arbroath 3
Kelty Hearts 2
Elgin City 2
East Fife 3
Alloa 2
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 2
Spartans 1
Queen's Park 2
Clyde 1
Forfar Athletic 2
Edinburgh City 1
Raith 5
Hamilton 2
Queen of the South 4
Dunfermline 3
Hearts B 0
St Johnstone 1
Ross County 4
Celtic B 0
Ayr 2
Peterhead 1
East Kilbride 1
Stranraer 4
Cove Rangers 1
Partick 2
Dumbarton 0
Inverness 9
Stirling 3
Morton 2
Stenhousemuir 2
Annan 0
1/8-finals
Arbroath 3
East Fife 0
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 1
Queen's Park 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Raith 1
Queen of the South 0
St Johnstone 2
Ross County 0
Ayr 4
Stranraer 1
Partick 3
Inverness 4
Stirling 1
Stenhousemuir 2
Quarter-finals
Arbroath 2
Airdrieonians 3
Queen's Park 1
Raith 2
St Johnstone 3
Ayr 4
Inverness 1
Stenhousemuir 0
Semi-finals
Airdrieonians 1
Raith 2
Ayr 1
Inverness 2
Final
Raith 4
Inverness 1
