Sport Picks

Scotland

Challenge Cup Links Park

Spartans

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montrose play Spartans in the Challenge Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Montrose averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Spartans averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. In past meetings, Montrose won 2, Spartans won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 22, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Montrose and 1.69 for Spartans. This points to a Spartans double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Montrose

32%

Draws

34%

Spartans

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Spartans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Montrose picked up more points recently compared to Spartans.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%

Montrose Clean Sheet 13%

Spartans Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Montrose	Spartans
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	9	11
Draws	8	9
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	1.54	1.59
Goals Conceded	1.79	1.04
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 22, 2025 Challenge Cup

Montrose vs Spartans

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Oct 11, 2025 Challenge Cup

Montrose vs Spartans

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

3:1

Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly

Spartans vs Montrose

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montrose Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lyons B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Aiken M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose 33 / 100

Spartans 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Montrose Spartans

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spartans or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Montrose attacking → ← attacking Spartans

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montrose scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Spartans let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Montrose went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Spartans lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 42

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00