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Montrose vs St Johnstone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Paton R.
23' Event
Diabate C.
63' Event
Chalmers L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Montrose and St Johnstone finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St Johnstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Montrose
20%
Draws
36%
St Johnstone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montrose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St Johnstone come out ahead of Montrose on wins alone.
  • Model gives Montrose a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St Johnstone here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Montrose Clean Sheet 20%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montrose St Johnstone
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.69 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Montrose vs St Johnstone
0:3
Jul 16, 2019 League Cup
Montrose vs St Johnstone
1:0
Jul 21, 2018 League Cup
Montrose vs St Johnstone
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montrose Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

St Johnstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Paton R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diabate C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose 36 / 100
St Johnstone 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montrose St Johnstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montrose's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

St Johnstone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Montrose remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montrose VS St Johnstone
2.25 Goals Scored 0.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montrose

(Home)
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2
Montrose
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2
Montrose
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1
Cove Rangers
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St Johnstone

(Away)
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
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