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Montrose W vs Hamilton W Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 Links Park, Montrose
Montrose W Logo

Montrose W

6 - 0
FT
Hamilton W Logo

Hamilton W

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
McDonald K.
Assist: Brown L.
26' Event
Robertson A.
Assist: Martin S.
29' Event
McLaren J.
Assist: Cowper C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montrose W in this SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montrose W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Montrose W
15%
Draws
85%
Hamilton W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Hamilton W haven't matched Montrose W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hamilton W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Montrose W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Montrose W Clean Sheet 14%
Hamilton W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montrose W Hamilton W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 2.15 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.97 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Montrose W vs Hamilton W
9:0
May 17, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Montrose W
0:5
Mar 15, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Hamilton W
6:0
Dec 21, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Montrose W
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Hamilton W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montrose W Compare

Top Goalscorer McLaren J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McDonald K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Hamilton W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.47
Avg xA / game 0.9

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose W 10 / 100
Hamilton W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montrose W Hamilton W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montrose W's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Hamilton W let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Hamilton W has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montrose W VS Hamilton W
4 Goals Scored 1.86
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 86%
75% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Montrose W

(Home)
27 Sept
Partick W
3 : 2
Montrose W
20 Sept
Hibernian W
6 : 1
Montrose W
13 Sept
Boroughmuir W
1 : 0
Montrose W
06 Sept
Montrose W
0 : 7
Hearts W
30 Aug
Montrose W
1 : 3
Motherwell W
Page 1 of 7

Hamilton W

(Away)
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
09 Aug
Montrose W
9 : 0
Hamilton W
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0
Livingston W
02 Aug
Renfrew W
0 : 8
Hamilton W
26 Jul
Hamilton W
2 : 1
Aberdeen W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Motherwell W 24 8 3 13 35:52 27
8 Montrose W 24 8 3 13 33:60 27
9 Aberdeen W 24 5 3 16 30:59 18
10 Hamilton W 24 0 2 22 10:104 2
Relegation - SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)