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Montrose W vs Motherwell W Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 Links Park, Montrose
Montrose W Logo

Montrose W

1 - 2
FT
Motherwell W Logo

Motherwell W

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Browning T.
Assist: Boyce C.
45' Event
Boyce C.
Assist: Blyth-Clark M.
51' Event
McDonald K.
Assist: McLaren J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Motherwell W in this SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motherwell W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Montrose W
15%
Draws
85%
Motherwell W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motherwell W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Montrose W average 2.03 goals a game right now, well clear of Motherwell W's 1.6.
  • Motherwell W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Montrose W Clean Sheet 10%
Motherwell W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montrose W Motherwell W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Motherwell W
1:3
Jul 26, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Motherwell W vs Montrose W
1:3
May 10, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Motherwell W
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Montrose W
5:1
Nov 2, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Motherwell W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montrose W Compare

Top Goalscorer McDonald K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Motherwell W Compare

Top Goalscorer Browning T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boyce C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose W 10 / 100
Motherwell W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montrose W Motherwell W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motherwell W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motherwell W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Montrose W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Away concern: Motherwell W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montrose W VS Motherwell W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Montrose W

(Home)
27 Sept
Partick W
3 : 2
Montrose W
20 Sept
Hibernian W
6 : 1
Montrose W
13 Sept
Boroughmuir W
1 : 0
Montrose W
06 Sept
Montrose W
0 : 7
Hearts W
30 Aug
Montrose W
1 : 3
Motherwell W
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Motherwell W

(Away)
27 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 2
Spartans W
18 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0
Motherwell W
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
06 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 3
Rangers W
30 Aug
Montrose W
1 : 3
Motherwell W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Motherwell W 24 8 3 13 35:52 27
8 Montrose W 24 8 3 13 33:60 27
9 Aberdeen W 24 5 3 16 30:59 18
10 Hamilton W 24 0 2 22 10:104 2
Relegation - SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)