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Montrose W vs Motherwell W

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 Links Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montrose W play Motherwell W in the SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Montrose W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Motherwell W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. In past meetings, Montrose W won 1, Motherwell W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Montrose W and 2.25 for Motherwell W. This points to a Montrose W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Montrose W
15%
Draws
36%
Motherwell W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montrose W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Montrose W picked up more points recently compared to Motherwell W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Montrose W Clean Sheet 10%
Motherwell W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montrose W Motherwell W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.5 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Motherwell W
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Montrose W
5:1
Nov 2, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Motherwell W
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Montrose W
1:4
Jan 26, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Motherwell W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montrose W Compare

Top Goalscorer McDonald K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Motherwell W Compare

Top Goalscorer Browning T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boyce C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montrose W 46 / 100
Motherwell W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montrose W Motherwell W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Montrose W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Montrose W attacking → ← attacking Motherwell W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montrose W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Motherwell W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Montrose W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Motherwell W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 27
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
7Motherwell W24831335:5227
8Montrose W24831333:6027
9Aberdeen W24531630:5918
10Hamilton W24022210:1042