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Montserrat vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Estadio Cuscatlán
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Pierre S.
Assist: Adams J.
46'
Sub
Kirnon L. In: Dyer J.
Out: Kirnon L.
55'
Charles A.

AI Match Summary

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Montserrat
6%
Draws
90%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint Vincent and the Grenadines lately — more wins on the board than Montserrat.
  • Model gives Saint Vincent and the Grenadines a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Montserrat Clean Sheet 14%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montserrat Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Montserrat vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Montserrat
2:0
Oct 7, 2010 Caribbean Cup
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Montserrat
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montserrat Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniels D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierre S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montserrat 10 / 100
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montserrat Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SVG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Montserrat scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Montserrat went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montserrat VS Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador650112:615
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines641112:713
3Bonaire61144:84
4Montserrat61053:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Curacao641115:313
2Saint Lucia63037:159
3Grenada62137:67
4Saint Martin62048:136
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti660029:518
2Puerto Rico630311:129
3Sint Maarten63037:189
4Aruba60065:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominican Republic660027:418
2Bermuda640215:1312
3Dominica61146:184
4Antigua and Barbuda60152:151