Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monza U19 vs Fiorentina U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Vitolo F. In: Mignani C.
Out: Vitolo F.
46'
Sub
Scuderi G. In: Fortini N.
Out: Scuderi G.
49' Event
Kassama S.
Assist: Vignato S.

AI Match Summary

Monza U19 in this Primavera 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monza U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Monza U19
30%
Draws
23%
Fiorentina U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monza U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Monza U19 haven't matched Fiorentina U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Monza U19 a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Monza U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Fiorentina U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza U19 Fiorentina U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.4 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2024 Primavera 1
Monza U19 vs Fiorentina U19
1:0
Jan 6, 2024 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U19 vs Monza U19
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassama S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fiorentina U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza U19 66 / 100
Fiorentina U19 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza U19 Fiorentina U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monza U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monza U19 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Fiorentina U19 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Monza U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monza U19 VS Fiorentina U19
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza U19

(Home)
17 May
Monza U19
1 : 5
Lecce U19
12 May
Juventus U19
1 : 1
Monza U19
04 May
Monza U19
2 : 1
Frosinone U19
27 Apr
AC Milan U19
1 : 2
Monza U19
21 Apr
Monza U19
1 : 1
Lazio U19
Page 1 of 6

Fiorentina U19

(Away)
05 Nov
Fiorentina U19
3 : 2
Legia U19
22 Oct
Legia U19
4 : 1
Fiorentina U19
20 Aug
Sassuolo U19
2 : 0
Fiorentina U19
14 Jul
Fiorentina
5 : 2
Fiorentina U19
17 May
Fiorentina U19
2 : 2
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)