Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monza U19 vs Lecce U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Daka D.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Helm A.
21' Event
Helm A.

AI Match Summary

Lecce U19 in this Primavera 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lecce U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Monza U19
35%
Draws
34%
Lecce U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lecce U19 lately — more wins on the board than Monza U19.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Lecce U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Monza U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Lecce U19 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza U19 Lecce U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2024 Primavera 1
Monza U19 vs Lecce U19
1:5
Sep 30, 2023 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs Monza U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zoppi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Lecce U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Helm A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Casciano E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza U19 10 / 100
Lecce U19 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza U19 Lecce U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecce U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza U19 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Lecce U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Monza U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monza U19 VS Lecce U19
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza U19

(Home)
17 May
Monza U19
1 : 5
Lecce U19
12 May
Juventus U19
1 : 1
Monza U19
04 May
Monza U19
2 : 1
Frosinone U19
27 Apr
AC Milan U19
1 : 2
Monza U19
21 Apr
Monza U19
1 : 1
Lazio U19
Page 1 of 6

Lecce U19

(Away)
17 May
Monza U19
1 : 5
Lecce U19
12 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AS Roma U19
06 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AC Milan U19
28 Apr
Cagliari U19
1 : 1
Lecce U19
22 Apr
Lecce U19
3 : 0
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)