Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monza U20 vs Cesena U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026 Centro Sportivo Luigi Berlusconi, Monza
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Tosku F.
12' Event
Tosku F.
34'
Sub
Buonaiuto M. In: Fardin G.
Out: Buonaiuto M.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2025/2026 game between Monza U20 and Cesena U20 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cesena U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Monza U20
35%
Draws
32%
Cesena U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cesena U20 come out ahead of Monza U20 on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Monza U20 taking it.
  • Regular Primavera 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Monza U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Cesena U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza U20 Cesena U20
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Cesena U20
1:3
Dec 22, 2025 Primavera 1
Cesena U20 vs Monza U20
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Cesena U20
1:2
Oct 25, 2024 Primavera 1
Cesena U20 vs Monza U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Azarovs T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Cesena U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tosku F.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza U20 40 / 100
Cesena U20 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza U20 Cesena U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza U20 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Cesena U20 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Monza U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monza U20 VS Cesena U20
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 2
Lecce U20
06 Sept
Verona U20
1 : 2
Monza U20
31 Aug
Monza U20
0 : 1
Genoa U20
22 Aug
AS Roma U20
3 : 2
Monza U20
16 May
Monza U20
0 : 0
Parma U20
Page 1 of 7

Cesena U20

(Away)
12 Sept
Cesena U20
0 : 1
Lazio U20
06 Sept
Empoli U20
3 : 3
Cesena U20
30 Aug
Cesena U20
1 : 1
AC Milan U20
24 Aug
Verona U20
0 : 1
Cesena U20
25 May
Parma U20
2 : 1
Cesena U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiorentina U20 38 19 11 8 70:48 68
2 Parma U20 38 19 11 8 59:38 68
3 Cesena U20 38 19 10 9 70:52 67
4 AS Roma U20 38 17 12 9 59:35 63
5 Bologna U20 38 17 11 10 54:40 62
6 Inter U20 38 16 11 11 70:61 59
7 Atalanta U20 38 14 15 9 54:47 57
8 Juventus U20 38 14 13 11 52:48 55
9 Lecce U20 38 14 12 12 54:53 54
10 Genoa U20 38 12 14 12 49:52 50
11 AC Milan U20 38 11 16 11 51:49 49
12 Verona U20 38 12 12 14 55:61 48
13 Torino U20 38 11 14 13 50:50 47
14 Monza U20 38 12 11 15 37:45 47
15 Lazio U20 38 12 11 15 44:51 47
16 Sassuolo U20 38 10 14 14 51:58 44
17 Napoli U20 38 10 10 18 39:55 40
18 Cagliari U20 38 10 9 19 49:62 39
19 Frosinone U20 38 8 11 19 47:76 35
20 Cremonese U20 38 6 6 26 31:64 24
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Main)