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Monza vs Aris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kadewere T.
30' Event
Racic U.
84' Event
Dele-Bashiru T.

AI Match Summary

Aris in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Monza
35%
Draws
32%
Aris
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monza lately — more wins on the board than Aris.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Monza taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Monza Clean Sheet 14%
Aris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza Aris
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.93 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Monza vs Aris
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Colpani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadewere T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Racic U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 66 / 100
Aris 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza Aris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monza scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Aris's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Monza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS Aris
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)
03 Oct
Brest
2 : 2
Monza
26 Sept
Monza
2 : 3
Cremonese
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
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Aris

(Away)
19 Sept
Aris
0 : 0
Iraklis FC
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
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