Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monza vs Aris

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kadewere T.
30' Event
Racic U.
84' Event
Dele-Bashiru T.

AI Match Summary

Aris in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Monza
20%
Draws
40%
Aris
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monza lately — more wins on the board than Aris.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Monza taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Monza Clean Sheet 10%
Aris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza Aris
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Monza vs Aris
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Colpani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadewere T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Racic U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 38 / 100
Aris 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza Aris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monza scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Aris's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Monza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS Aris
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)
14 Aug
Monza
3 : 0
Avellino
07 Aug
Monza
3 : 3
Padova
04 Aug
Monza
4 : 2
AC Milan U23
30 Jul
Monza
1 : 3
Aris
24 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 2
Monza
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Aris

(Away)
17 Aug
Karditsa
0 : 2
Aris
12 Aug
Napoli
6 : 2
Aris
08 Aug
Aris
2 : 2
Panserraikos
30 Jul
Monza
1 : 3
Aris
17 May
Aris
3 : 0
Levadiakos
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