Sport Picks

Italy

Coppa Italia U-Power Stadium (Brianteo), Monza

Monza

3 - 0

Avellino

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Varela G.

45'

Varela G.

Assist: Cutrone P.

47'

Moruzzi B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

Monza

15%

Draws

32%

Avellino

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Monza come out ahead of Avellino on wins alone.
53% — that's where the model lands on Monza taking it.
Monza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Monza, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Monza Clean Sheet 68%

Avellino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Monza	Avellino
Matches Played	33	29
Wins	19	12
Draws	8	4
Losses	6	13
Goals Scored	1.91	2.14
Goals Conceded	1.15	1.45
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Coppa Italia

Monza vs Avellino

3:0

Feb 8, 2026 Serie B

Monza vs Avellino

2:1

Sep 12, 2025 Serie B

Avellino vs Monza

2:1

Aug 11, 2013 Coppa Italia

Avellino vs Monza

1:0

Mar 4, 2012 Lega Pro C1/A

Avellino vs Monza

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela G.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Forson O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Avellino Compare

Avg xG / game 3.01

Avg xA / game 1.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 77 / 100

Avellino 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Monza Avellino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monza Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Avellino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Monza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS Avellino

2.13 Goals Scored 5

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63

100% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)

14 Aug

Monza

3 : 0

Avellino

07 Aug

Monza

3 : 3

Padova

04 Aug

Monza

4 : 2

AC Milan U23

30 Jul

Monza

1 : 3

Aris

24 Jul

Galatasaray

0 : 2

Monza

Page 1 of 7

Avellino

(Away)

14 Aug

Monza

3 : 0

Avellino

08 Aug

Avellino

1 : 2

Torino

01 Aug

Lazio

6 : 3

Avellino

28 Jul

Avellino

3 : 1

Real Forio 2014

26 Jul

Sambenedettese

0 : 5

Avellino

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Inter -

TBD -

Genoa -

TBD -

Ascoli 3

Potenza 1

Catanzaro -

TBD -

Sudtirol -

Bologna -

TBD -

Lazio -

TBD -

Mantova -

Lecce -

TBD -

Palermo -

Torino -

TBD -

Carrarese -

Monza -

TBD -

Avellino -

TBD -

AC Milan -

Cremonese -

TBD -

Sampdoria -

Vicenza 1

Catania 2

TBD -

Parma -

TBD -

Como -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Cagliari -

TBD -

Arezzo 2

Union Brescia 0

Verona -

TBD -

Entella -

Juventus -

TBD -

Sassuolo -

TBD -

Cesena -

Frosinone -

TBD -

Juve Stabia -

Udinese -

TBD -

Padova -

Venezia -

TBD -

Modena -

TBD -

Atalanta -

Pisa -

TBD -

Empoli -

Benevento 5

Ravenna 3

TBD -

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Napoli -

1/32-finals

Inter -

TBD -

Genoa 4

Ascoli 1

Catanzaro 2

Sudtirol 3

Bologna -

TBD -

Lazio 0

Mantova 2

Lecce 0

Palermo 2

Torino 1

Carrarese 0

Monza 3

Avellino 0

TBD -

AC Milan -

Cremonese 2

Sampdoria 0

Catania 0

Parma 2

TBD -

Como -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Cagliari 1

Arezzo 0

Verona 3

Entella 2

Juventus -

TBD -

Sassuolo 3

Cesena 0

Frosinone 4

Juve Stabia 1

Udinese 1

Padova 0

Venezia 3

Modena 2

TBD -

Atalanta -

Pisa 2

Empoli 1

Benevento 1

Fiorentina 4

TBD -

Napoli -

1/16-finals

Inter -

TBD -

Genoa -

Sudtirol -

Bologna -

TBD -

Mantova -

Palermo -

Torino -

Monza -

TBD -

AC Milan -

Cremonese -

Parma -

TBD -

Como -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Cagliari -

Verona -

Juventus -

TBD -

Sassuolo -

Frosinone -

Udinese -

Venezia -

TBD -

Atalanta -

Pisa -

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Napoli -

1/8-finals

Inter -

TBD -

Bologna -

TBD -

AC Milan -

TBD -

Como -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Juventus -

TBD -

Atalanta -

TBD -

Napoli -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Monza vs Avellino

Italy

Monza

Avellino

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Monza Compare

Avellino Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

Avellino

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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