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Monza vs Padova

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Pessina M.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Caprari G.
(Penalty)
59'
Sub
Zanimacchia L. In: Cocchi M.
Out: Zanimacchia L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Monza and Padova finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Monza
30%
Draws
37%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Padova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Padova haven't matched Monza's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Monza Clean Sheet 16%
Padova Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monza Padova
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Monza vs Padova
3:3
Feb 1, 2026 Serie B
Padova vs Monza
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Serie B
Monza vs Padova
0:1
Aug 5, 2018 Coppa Italia
Padova vs Monza
1:0
Apr 19, 2009 Lega Pro C1/A
Padova vs Monza
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mota D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Padova Compare

Top Goalscorer Lasagna K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monza 36 / 100
Padova 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monza Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Padova conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Monza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monza VS Padova
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monza

(Home)
29 Aug
Monza
2 : 3
Udinese
22 Aug
Inter
4 : 1
Monza
14 Aug
Monza
3 : 0
Avellino
07 Aug
Monza
3 : 3
Padova
04 Aug
Monza
4 : 2
AC Milan U23
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Padova

(Away)
29 Aug
Padova
1 : 1
Verona
23 Aug
Pisa
0 : 1
Padova
15 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Padova
07 Aug
Monza
3 : 3
Padova
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2
Padova
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