Sport Picks
Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua 
Match Events
2'
2'
Lastre E.
Assist: Zapata Y.
4'
4'
Rodriguez J.
7'
7'
Lojas J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Moquegua and Comerciantes Unidos finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Comerciantes Unidos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Moquegua carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 18%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moquegua | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Liga 1
Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos
2:2
Feb 2, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Moquegua
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moquegua Compare
Top Goalscorer Lastre E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Comerciantes Unidos Compare
Top Goalscorer Sen M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Herrera J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moquegua 36 / 100
Comerciantes Unidos 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moquegua Comerciantes Unidos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Comerciantes Unidos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Comerciantes Unidos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Moquegua has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Comerciantes Unidos's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Moquegua VS Comerciantes Unidos
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Moquegua
(Home) 27 Aug
AD Tarma
2 : 0 Moquegua
22 Aug
Sport Huancayo
0 : 2 Moquegua
16 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 1 Sport Boys
09 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 0 Moquegua
02 Aug
Moquegua
0 : 0 FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 1 Sport Boys
02 Aug
Moquegua
0 : 0 FBC Melgar
18 Jul
Moquegua
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
21 Jun
Moquegua
3 : 2 Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 3
Comerciantes Unidos
(Away) 28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
14 Aug
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
07 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 1 Cusco
31 Jul
Los Chankas
3 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
14 Aug
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
31 Jul
Los Chankas
3 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
18 Jul
Moquegua
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
11 Jun
ADA Jaen
2 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 13 |
| 3 | A. Lima | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 8 | Atletico Grau | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl. | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 10 | Cusco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Moquegua | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:16 | 7 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Cienciano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | 2 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:16 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
