Sport Picks

Peru

Liga 1 Estadio 25 de Noviembre

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moquegua play Comerciantes Unidos in the Liga 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Moquegua averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Comerciantes Unidos averaged 0.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Moquegua won 0, Comerciantes Unidos won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 2, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Moquegua and 0.88 for Comerciantes Unidos. This points to a Comerciantes Unidos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Moquegua

17%

Draws

13%

Comerciantes Unidos

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Moquegua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Moquegua has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Comerciantes Unidos.
Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Moquegua.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga 1 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Moquegua Clean Sheet 68%

Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Moquegua	Comerciantes Unidos
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	11	9
Draws	6	10
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.13	0.38
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Liga 1

Comerciantes Unidos vs Moquegua

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moquegua 77 / 100

Comerciantes Unidos 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Moquegua Comerciantes Unidos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOQ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moquegua scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Comerciantes Unidos let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Moquegua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Comerciantes Unidos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moquegua VS Comerciantes Unidos

1.13 Goals Scored 0.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 38%

63% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	GD
1	A. Lima	0:0
2	Alianza Atl.	0:0
3	Cienciano	0:0
4	FBC Melgar	0:0
5	Sport Boys	0:0
6	Sporting Cristal	0:0
7	Universitario de Deportes	0:0
8	Sport Huancayo	0:0
9	Cajamarca	0:0
10	Cusco	0:0
11	Comerciantes Unidos	0:0
12	Los Chankas	0:0
13	Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0
14	Atletico Grau	0:0
15	AD Tarma	0:0
16	Moquegua	0:0
17	Juan Pablo II	0:0
18	FC Cajamarca	0:0

Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos