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Moquegua vs FBC Melgar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua
Moquegua Logo

Moquegua

0 - 0
FT
FBC Melgar Logo

FBC Melgar

Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Zapata Y.
46'
Sub
Chavez N. In: Ramirez C.
Out: Chavez N.
61'
Sub
Enciso C. In: Ruiz K.
Out: Enciso C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Moquegua and FBC Melgar finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Moquegua
20%
Draws
80%
FBC Melgar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FBC Melgar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FBC Melgar come out ahead of Moquegua on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FBC Melgar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 16%
FBC Melgar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moquegua FBC Melgar
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.85 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga 1
Moquegua vs FBC Melgar
0:0
Jun 29, 2026 Copa de la Liga
FBC Melgar vs Moquegua
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Moquegua
4:0
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
FBC Melgar vs Moquegua
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moquegua 10 / 100
FBC Melgar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moquegua FBC Melgar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBC Melgar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBC Melgar has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Moquegua scored in 52% of their last 33 games.

FBC Melgar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moquegua VS FBC Melgar
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moquegua

(Home)
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2
Cienciano
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 7

FBC Melgar

(Away)
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1
FBC Melgar
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0
AD Tarma
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0
FBC Melgar
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
A. Lima
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
2 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
3 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
4 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
5 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
14 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)