Sport Picks
Moquegua vs FC Cajamarca Prediction & H2H Stats
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua 
Match Events
8'
8'
Chipao R.
Assist: Enciso C.
40'
40'
Timana H.
49'
49'
Mejia C.
Assist: Amasifuen N.
AI Match Summary
Moquegua in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moquegua.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Cajamarca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Moquegua lately — more wins on the board than FC Cajamarca.
- Model gives FC Cajamarca a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 12%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moquegua | FC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Liga 1
Moquegua vs FC Cajamarca
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga 2
FC Cajamarca vs Moquegua
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga 2
Moquegua vs FC Cajamarca
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Liga 2
FC Cajamarca vs Moquegua
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 Liga 2
Moquegua vs FC Cajamarca
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moquegua Compare
Top Goalscorer Chipao R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mejia C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
FC Cajamarca Compare
Top Goalscorer Palacios B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moquegua 14 / 100
FC Cajamarca 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moquegua FC Cajamarca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Cajamarca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Cajamarca let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
FC Cajamarca lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Moquegua scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Moquegua VS FC Cajamarca
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Moquegua
(Home) 20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0 Moquegua
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0 Moquegua
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4 Alianza Atl.
27 Aug
AD Tarma
2 : 0 Moquegua
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4 Alianza Atl.
16 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 1 Sport Boys
02 Aug
Moquegua
0 : 0 FBC Melgar
18 Jul
Moquegua
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 3
FC Cajamarca
(Away) 19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2 Cusco
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2 FC Cajamarca
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5 Cienciano
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
21 Aug
FC Cajamarca
1 : 3 Atletico Grau
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2 FC Cajamarca
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
09 Aug
FBC Melgar
2 : 4 FC Cajamarca
27 Jul
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 1 FC Cajamarca
26 Jun
Cajamarca
3 : 1 FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
