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Mora CF vs Almagro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 18 2018/2019
Mora CF Logo

Mora CF

0 - 1
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Almagro Logo

Almagro

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Almagro in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almagro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mora CF
15%
Draws
57%
Almagro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almagro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Almagro average 0.91 goals a game right now, well clear of Mora CF's 0.76.
  • Mora CF are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Mora CF Clean Sheet 10%
Almagro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mora CF Almagro
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.76 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Mora CF vs Almagro
0:1
Nov 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Almagro vs Mora CF
0:0
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Almagro vs Mora CF
2:1
Dec 16, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Mora CF vs Almagro
2:1
Feb 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Almagro vs Mora CF
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mora CF 34 / 100
Almagro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mora CF Almagro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almagro has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Almagro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mora CF found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Mora CF VS Almagro
2 Goals Scored 0.5
6 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 13%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mora CF

(Home)
17 Nov
San Agustin
6 : 2
Mora CF
19 May
Toledo
2 : 1
Mora CF
12 May
Mora CF
2 : 1
CD Tarancon
05 May
La Solana
1 : 0
Mora CF
27 Apr
Mora CF
0 : 1
Marchamalo
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Almagro

(Away)
06 Jun
Illescas
2 : 0
Almagro
03 Jun
Almagro
0 : 3
CD Pedroneras
30 May
Almagro
0 : 1
Conquense
26 May
Almagro
3 : 2
Illescas
23 May
Madridejos
2 : 3
Almagro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socuellamos 38 28 7 3 83:16 91
2 Villarrubia 38 23 6 9 61:37 75
3 Villarrobledo 38 23 6 9 68:42 75
4 Toledo 38 22 4 12 68:43 70
5 Albacete B 38 17 12 9 64:43 63
6 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 15 13 10 39:31 58
7 La Roda 38 15 10 13 41:40 55
8 Quintanar del Rey 38 15 6 17 49:59 51
9 Puertollano C.F. 38 14 9 15 43:47 51
10 Azuqueca 38 14 8 16 57:55 50
11 Madridejos 38 14 7 17 39:40 49
12 Atletico Ibanes 38 13 6 19 55:58 45
13 La Solana 38 12 9 17 38:55 45
14 CD Tarancon 38 13 5 20 56:74 44
15 Guadalajara 38 13 4 21 45:67 43
16 Almagro 38 11 10 17 40:51 43
17 Villacanas 38 11 9 18 39:56 42
18 Tomelloso 38 10 10 18 39:55 40
19 Marchamalo 38 10 7 21 33:65 37
20 Mora CF 38 9 8 21 27:50 35
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)