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Morabeza vs Academica do Mindelo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2023 game between Morabeza and Academica do Mindelo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morabeza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Morabeza
35%
Draws
32%
Academica do Mindelo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica do Mindelo come out ahead of Morabeza on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Academica do Mindelo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Morabeza Clean Sheet 18%
Academica do Mindelo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morabeza Academica do Mindelo
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 7 13
Draws 13 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.9 2
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Mindelo vs Morabeza
2:2
Apr 21, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs Academica do Mindelo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morabeza 23 / 100
Academica do Mindelo 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morabeza Academica do Mindelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academica do Mindelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Morabeza scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Academica do Mindelo let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.

Morabeza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morabeza VS Academica do Mindelo
1 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Morabeza

(Home)
15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2
Morabeza
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1
Barreirense
26 May
Morabeza
2 : 2
Palmeira
18 May
Palmeira
2 : 0
Morabeza
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1
Morabeza
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Academica do Mindelo

(Away)
08 Jul
Academica do Mindelo
1 : 2
Palmeira
01 Jul
Vulcanico Clube
3 : 6
Academica do Mindelo
24 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Vulcanico Clube
11 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Morabeza
04 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 4
Academica do Mindelo
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 2 0 6:0 14
2 Travadores 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
3 Santo Crucifixo 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
4 Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
2 Vulcanico Clube 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Belo Horizonte 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Sanjoanenses 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica do Mindelo 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Morabeza 6 2 4 0 6:4 10
3 Figueirense 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams