Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Araujo P.
90'
90'
Silla A.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional 2024 game between Morabeza and Barreirense finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morabeza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Morabeza carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Morabeza's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Campeonato Nacional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Morabeza Clean Sheet 20%
Barreirense Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Morabeza | Barreirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 22 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 9, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs Barreirense
1:1
May 12, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Barreirense vs Morabeza
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Morabeza Compare
Top Goalscorer Araujo P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Barreirense Compare
Top Goalscorer Silla A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Morabeza 42 / 100
Barreirense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Morabeza Barreirense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Barreirense conceded in 91% of 22 recent games.
Morabeza scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Morabeza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Morabeza VS Barreirense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Morabeza
(Home) 15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2 Morabeza
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1 Barreirense
26 May
Morabeza
2 : 2 Palmeira
18 May
Palmeira
2 : 0 Morabeza
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1 Morabeza
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09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1 Barreirense
26 May
Morabeza
2 : 2 Palmeira
05 May
Morabeza
1 : 1 GD Varandinha
04 Jun
Morabeza
0 : 0 GD Varandinha
12 May
Morabeza
1 : 0 Figueirense
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Barreirense
(Away) 15 Jun
Barreirense
0 : 2 Palmeira
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1 Barreirense
26 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 3 Barreirense
18 May
Barreirense
3 : 1 GD Varandinha
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1 Morabeza
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09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1 Barreirense
26 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 3 Barreirense
04 May
Palmeira
1 : 1 Barreirense
11 Jun
Botafogo
1 : 1 Barreirense
04 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
4 : 2 Barreirense
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academico do Sal | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 2 | Academica do Fogo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Rosariense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Juventude | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeira | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Morabeza | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Barreirense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 4 | GD Varandinha | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boavista da Praia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 16 |
| 2 | FC Derby | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 3 | Ultramarina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 4 | Sanjoanenses | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
