Sport Picks

Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2018

Foguetoes

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Morabeza play Foguetoes in the Campeonato Nacional 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Morabeza averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Foguetoes averaged 0.62 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Morabeza won 0, Foguetoes won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 5, 2018 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Morabeza and 0.88 for Foguetoes. This points to a Foguetoes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Morabeza

35%

Draws

34%

Foguetoes

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Foguetoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Morabeza picked up more points recently compared to Foguetoes.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 58%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Morabeza Clean Sheet 25%

Foguetoes Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 52%

Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Morabeza	Foguetoes
Matches Played	30	13
Wins	7	3
Draws	13	4
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	0.9	0.62
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2018 Campeonato Nacional

Foguetoes vs Morabeza

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Apr 7, 2018 Campeonato Nacional

Morabeza vs Foguetoes

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morabeza 33 / 100

Foguetoes 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Morabeza Foguetoes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Foguetoes or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.9%

3.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Morabeza attacking → ← attacking Foguetoes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morabeza scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Foguetoes let in goals in 69% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Morabeza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Foguetoes lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 13

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Academica Praia	6	3	2	1	6:4	11
2	Mindelense	6	2	4	0	6:4	10
3	Academica Porto Novo	6	2	2	2	8:7	8
4	Sport Sal-Rei	6	0	2	4	5:10	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Foguetoes	6	3	2	1	5:4	11
2	Belo Horizonte	6	2	3	1	9:5	9
3	Scorpion Vermelho	6	2	3	1	8:6	9
4	Morabeza	6	1	0	5	4:11	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeira	6	3	1	2	8:7	10
2	Sporting Praia	6	2	2	2	5:5	8
3	Vulcanico	6	2	2	2	4:4	8
4	Barreirense	6	1	3	2	7:8	6