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Stadium Background

Morabeza vs SC do Porto Novo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC do Porto Novo in this Campeonato Nacional 2009 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC do Porto Novo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Morabeza
30%
Draws
33%
SC do Porto Novo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morabeza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Morabeza lately — more wins on the board than SC do Porto Novo.
  • Morabeza are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Morabeza Clean Sheet 20%
SC do Porto Novo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morabeza SC do Porto Novo
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 7 3
Draws 13 1
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 0.9 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs SC do Porto Novo
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morabeza 40 / 100
SC do Porto Novo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morabeza SC do Porto Novo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morabeza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morabeza found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Morabeza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: SC do Porto Novo conceded in 43% of 7 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Morabeza VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morabeza

(Home)
15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2
Morabeza
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1
Barreirense
26 May
Morabeza
2 : 2
Palmeira
18 May
Palmeira
2 : 0
Morabeza
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1
Morabeza
Page 1 of 6

SC do Porto Novo

(Away)
28 Jun
Academica Praia
0 : 0
SC do Porto Novo
20 Jun
SC do Porto Novo
1 : 4
Academica Praia
13 Jun
Morabeza
0 : 3
SC do Porto Novo
06 Jun
Vulcanico
0 : 2
SC do Porto Novo
30 May
SC do Porto Novo
0 : 3
Sporting Praia
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica Praia 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Mindelense 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
3 Ultramarina 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
4 Onze Unidos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
5 Santa Maria 5 0 2 3 6:13 2
6 Foguetoes 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 SC do Porto Novo 5 3 0 2 9:6 9
3 Vulcanico 5 2 1 2 3:4 7
4 Morabeza 5 2 1 2 4:8 7
5 Estrela dos Amadores 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
6 Academica Boavista 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)