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Moragasmulla vs Renown

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Shahil M.
22' Event
Aman M.
28' Event
Shahil M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025 game between Moragasmulla and Renown finished 0-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Moragasmulla
6%
Draws
90%
Renown
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Renown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Renown come out ahead of Moragasmulla on wins alone.
  • Renown are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Moragasmulla Clean Sheet 10%
Renown Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moragasmulla Renown
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 1 17
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.13
Goals Conceded 4.67 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.67 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Super League
Moragasmulla vs Renown
0:8
Sep 16, 2017 Super League
Moragasmulla vs Renown
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moragasmulla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Renown Compare

Top Goalscorer Shahil M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aman M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moragasmulla 10 / 100
Renown 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moragasmulla Renown

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Moragasmulla scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Renown let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Moragasmulla VS Renown
1.33 Goals Scored 1.13
4.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saunders33008:29
2Maligawatte Youth31115:34
3New Star31024:83
4Blue Star30122:61
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Renown320111:36
2Java Lane32016:56
3Red Star32014:36
4Moragasmulla30034:140