Sport Picks
Moralo vs CD Calamonte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 
Match Events
19'
19'
Paez A.
71'
71'
Goodluck E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
30%
6%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moralo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- CD Calamonte haven't matched Moralo's recent run of results.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Moralo taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Moralo Clean Sheet 68%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moralo | CD Calamonte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 33 |
| Wins | 18 | 4 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.68 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.52 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs CD Calamonte
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Moralo
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Moralo
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs CD Calamonte
1:2
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Moralo
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moralo Compare
Top Goalscorer Goodluck E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76
CD Calamonte Compare
Top Goalscorer Paez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moralo 95 / 100
CD Calamonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moralo CD Calamonte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Moralo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moralo's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
CD Calamonte has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.
Solid form: Moralo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Moralo VS CD Calamonte
0.88 Goals Scored 0.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.17
75% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Moralo
(Home) 04 Oct
Moralo
1 : 1 Gevora
27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Moralo
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0 CD Zafra
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3 Moralo
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Moralo
1 : 1 Gevora
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0 CD Zafra
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2 CD Badajoz
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0 CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 4
CD Calamonte
(Away) 09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3 CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3 Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 7
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Calamonte
29 Mar
SP Villafranca
1 : 0 CD Calamonte
15 Mar
Santa Amalia
2 : 1 CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
