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Moralo vs CD Calamonte

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Paez A.
71' Event
Goodluck E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Moralo
35%
Draws
9%
CD Calamonte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Moralo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Calamonte haven't matched Moralo's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Moralo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Moralo Clean Sheet 68%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moralo CD Calamonte
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 19 4
Draws 10 10
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.44 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.65 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs CD Calamonte
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Moralo
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Moralo
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs CD Calamonte
1:2
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Moralo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moralo Compare

Top Goalscorer Goodluck E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

CD Calamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Paez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moralo 95 / 100
CD Calamonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moralo CD Calamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Calamonte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Moralo scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Moralo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moralo VS CD Calamonte
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moralo

(Home)
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
10 May
Moralo
1 : 1
Don Benito
Page 1 of 7

CD Calamonte

(Away)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)