Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025

Match Events

78'

Kinateder A.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moralo host Olivenza FC in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025. Moralo are expected to control this from the start. Olivenza FC have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Moralo have conceded 0.38 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Moralo slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.60 - 0.69) back Moralo to edge this. Moralo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Moralo

Draws

Olivenza FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Moralo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Moralo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Olivenza FC.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Moralo.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Moralo Clean Sheet 68%

Olivenza FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Moralo	Olivenza FC
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	17	3
Draws	9	8
Losses	6	19
Goals Scored	2	0
Goals Conceded	0.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs Olivenza FC

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Olivenza FC vs Moralo

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 3 - 4

4:2

May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Olivenza FC vs Moralo

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 4 - 4

1:4

Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs Olivenza FC

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

May 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs Olivenza FC

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moralo 95 / 100

Olivenza FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Moralo Olivenza FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moralo scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Olivenza FC let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Moralo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Olivenza FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moralo VS -

2 Goals Scored 0

0.38 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Extremadura	34	23	6	5	73:22	75
2	CD Azuaga	34	20	11	3	65:28	71
3	Jaraiz	34	21	6	7	65:40	69
4	AD Llerenense	34	21	5	8	58:28	68
5	CD Badajoz	34	17	12	5	54:20	63
6	CD Diocesano	34	17	7	10	58:38	58
7	Santa Amalia	34	16	6	12	31:31	54
8	Jerez CF	34	14	9	11	50:48	51
9	SP Villafranca	34	14	5	15	55:55	47
10	Moralo	34	13	7	14	52:50	46
11	Montijo	34	11	12	11	35:34	45
12	Pueblonuevo	34	9	9	16	42:71	36
13	CD Calamonte	34	8	9	17	36:48	33
14	Puebla de la Calzada	34	7	11	16	35:56	32
15	Castuera	34	7	8	19	46:64	29
16	CF Trujillo	34	6	10	18	32:63	28
17	Arroyo	34	5	7	22	32:70	22
18	Olivenza FC	34	3	8	23	26:79	17