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Moratalaz vs AD Torrejon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Torrejon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Torrejon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Moratalaz
15%
Draws
57%
AD Torrejon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Torrejon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Torrejon have won more games recently than Moratalaz.
  • Win probability leans AD Torrejon's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Moratalaz Clean Sheet 17%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moratalaz AD Torrejon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 17
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs AD Torrejon
1:6
Feb 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Moratalaz
2:1
Mar 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Moratalaz
3:0
Nov 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs AD Torrejon
1:1
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Moratalaz
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalaz 23 / 100
AD Torrejon 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moratalaz AD Torrejon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Torrejon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Moratalaz scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

AD Torrejon has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: AD Torrejon has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Torrejon
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Moratalaz

(Home)
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 6
AD Torrejon
16 Apr
Moratalaz
3 : 4
Villaviciosa de Odon
10 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
03 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 3
Moratalaz
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AD Torrejon

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2
AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 40 29 8 3 82:26 95
2 CD Las Rozas 40 22 9 9 68:35 75
3 CDE Madrid 40 20 12 8 61:42 72
4 Alcorcon B 40 19 12 9 63:39 69
5 Paracuellos Antamira 40 19 9 12 56:44 66
6 Ursaria 40 16 16 8 47:27 64
7 RSD Alcala 40 18 10 12 45:40 64
8 Getafe B 40 17 10 13 56:46 61
9 Rayo Vallecano B 40 15 12 13 59:43 57
10 AD Torrejon 40 16 9 15 55:48 57
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 40 15 12 13 39:45 57
12 Galapagar 40 16 8 16 50:57 56
13 Trival Valderas 40 13 14 13 40:42 53
14 Parla 40 14 10 16 46:46 52
15 Tres Cantos 40 13 8 19 41:52 47
16 Villaverde San Andres 40 13 6 21 35:45 45
17 Moratalaz 40 12 7 21 46:73 43
18 Villaviciosa de Odon 40 10 8 22 47:73 38
19 AD Alcala 40 9 10 21 31:58 37
20 Carabanchel 40 7 12 21 43:70 33
21 Colonia Moscardo 40 5 2 33 20:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 (Play Offs)