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Moratalla vs Base Abaran

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moratalla in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moratalla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Moratalla
20%
Draws
50%
Base Abaran
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Base Abaran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moratalla lately — more wins on the board than Base Abaran.
  • Model gives Base Abaran a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 20%
Base Abaran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moratalla Base Abaran
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.2 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Base Abaran
3:1
Oct 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Base Abaran vs Moratalla
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalla 10 / 100
Base Abaran 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moratalla Base Abaran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Base Abaran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Base Abaran has conceded goals in 94% of their last 33 outings.

Moratalla scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Moratalla has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Base Abaran
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moratalla

(Home)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3
UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1
Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3
Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0
Moratalla
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Base Abaran

(Away)
13 May
Aguilas FC
7 : 3
Base Abaran
06 May
Base Abaran
3 : 3
Ciudad Cieza
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 2
Base Abaran
22 Apr
Base Abaran
2 : 2
Club Edeco Fortuna
15 Apr
Plus Ultra
3 : 2
Base Abaran
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 38 27 5 6 81:22 86
2 Real Murcia B 38 25 9 4 69:18 84
3 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 38 25 8 5 85:28 83
4 Cartagena La Union 38 25 6 7 72:36 81
5 Ciudad Cieza 38 25 5 8 74:28 80
6 Bala Azul 38 18 12 8 59:45 66
7 Lorca FC 38 17 9 12 58:51 60
8 CA Pulpileno 38 16 9 13 53:42 57
9 Molina 38 15 8 15 60:45 53
10 Pinatar 38 13 13 12 50:51 52
11 Club Edeco Fortuna 38 15 7 16 39:57 52
12 Plus Ultra 38 14 6 18 44:57 48
13 Santomera 38 12 9 17 43:57 45
14 Cartagena FC UCAM 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Moratalla 38 11 8 19 44:69 41
16 Calasparra FC 38 11 8 19 45:64 41
17 Base Abaran 38 9 9 20 28:47 36
18 FC Puente Tocinos 38 9 6 23 42:85 33
19 Beniel 38 4 3 31 32:93 15
20 Lorca Deportiva 38 2 2 34 7:72 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)