Sport Picks

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Moratalla vs Beniel

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beniel in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beniel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Moratalla
15%
Draws
42%
Beniel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moratalla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Beniel haven't matched Moratalla's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 20%
Beniel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moratalla Beniel
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 8 3
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 28
Goals Scored 1.2 0.72
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Beniel
2:3
Dec 4, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Beniel vs Moratalla
0:1
Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Beniel vs Moratalla
0:1
Sep 28, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Beniel
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalla 36 / 100
Beniel 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moratalla Beniel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beniel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beniel let in goals in 89% of their last 36 matches.

Moratalla's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Beniel has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Beniel
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moratalla

(Home)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3
UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1
Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3
Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0
Moratalla
Page 1 of 6

Beniel

(Away)
11 May
Beniel
0 : 4
Plus Ultra
05 May
CA Pulpileno
5 : 1
Beniel
27 Apr
Beniel
1 : 3
Futbol Club Jumilla
20 Apr
Beniel
2 : 0
Molina
14 Apr
Deportiva Minera
4 : 0
Beniel
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 38 27 5 6 81:22 86
2 Real Murcia B 38 25 9 4 69:18 84
3 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 38 25 8 5 85:28 83
4 Cartagena La Union 38 25 6 7 72:36 81
5 Ciudad Cieza 38 25 5 8 74:28 80
6 Bala Azul 38 18 12 8 59:45 66
7 Lorca FC 38 17 9 12 58:51 60
8 CA Pulpileno 38 16 9 13 53:42 57
9 Molina 38 15 8 15 60:45 53
10 Pinatar 38 13 13 12 50:51 52
11 Club Edeco Fortuna 38 15 7 16 39:57 52
12 Plus Ultra 38 14 6 18 44:57 48
13 Santomera 38 12 9 17 43:57 45
14 Cartagena FC UCAM 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Moratalla 38 11 8 19 44:69 41
16 Calasparra FC 38 11 8 19 45:64 41
17 Base Abaran 38 9 9 20 28:47 36
18 FC Puente Tocinos 38 9 6 23 42:85 33
19 Beniel 38 4 3 31 32:93 15
20 Lorca Deportiva 38 2 2 34 7:72 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)