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Moratalla vs Ciudad Cieza Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciudad Cieza in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad Cieza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Moratalla
20%
Draws
58%
Ciudad Cieza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ciudad Cieza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciudad Cieza have won more games recently than Moratalla.
  • Ciudad Cieza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 20%
Ciudad Cieza Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moratalla Ciudad Cieza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 10
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.2 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.17 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Ciudad Cieza
3:4
Aug 29, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Moratalla
0:1
Jan 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Ciudad Cieza
3:0
Sep 7, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Moratalla
2:2
May 1, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Ciudad Cieza
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalla 10 / 100
Ciudad Cieza 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moratalla Ciudad Cieza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad Cieza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Moratalla scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Ciudad Cieza let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Moratalla went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ciudad Cieza
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moratalla

(Home)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3
UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1
Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3
Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0
Moratalla
Page 1 of 6

Ciudad Cieza

(Away)
27 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 1
Baleares
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Ilicitano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 38 27 5 6 81:22 86
2 Real Murcia B 38 25 9 4 69:18 84
3 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 38 25 8 5 85:28 83
4 Cartagena La Union 38 25 6 7 72:36 81
5 Ciudad Cieza 38 25 5 8 74:28 80
6 Bala Azul 38 18 12 8 59:45 66
7 Lorca FC 38 17 9 12 58:51 60
8 CA Pulpileno 38 16 9 13 53:42 57
9 Molina 38 15 8 15 60:45 53
10 Pinatar 38 13 13 12 50:51 52
11 Club Edeco Fortuna 38 15 7 16 39:57 52
12 Plus Ultra 38 14 6 18 44:57 48
13 Santomera 38 12 9 17 43:57 45
14 Cartagena FC UCAM 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Moratalla 38 11 8 19 44:69 41
16 Calasparra FC 38 11 8 19 45:64 41
17 Base Abaran 38 9 9 20 28:47 36
18 FC Puente Tocinos 38 9 6 23 42:85 33
19 Beniel 38 4 3 31 32:93 15
20 Lorca Deportiva 38 2 2 34 7:72 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)