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Stadium Background

Moratalla vs Ciudad Lorca

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 game between Moratalla and Ciudad Lorca finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moratalla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Moratalla
6%
Draws
4%
Ciudad Lorca
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Moratalla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ciudad Lorca haven't matched Moratalla's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Moratalla taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Moratalla have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 16%
Ciudad Lorca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moratalla Ciudad Lorca
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 12 3
Draws 7 1
Losses 18 27
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Moratalla
2:7
Dec 14, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Ciudad Lorca
5:1
Jan 20, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Ciudad Lorca
2:1
Sep 2, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Moratalla
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalla 84 / 100
Ciudad Lorca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moratalla Ciudad Lorca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ciudad Lorca conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

Ciudad Lorca's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Moratalla's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Moratalla VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moratalla

(Home)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3
UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1
Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3
Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0
Moratalla
Page 1 of 8

Ciudad Lorca

(Away)
17 May
CA Pulpileno
3 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8
Deportivo Murcia
01 May
CD Lumbreras
2 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
25 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
2 : 7
Moratalla
18 Apr
Mazarron CF
11 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad de Lorqu38289184:2993
2Sangonera382213378:3479
3Real Murcia B38247775:3079
4Caravaca382210693:3876
5Pinatar382112590:3875
6Calasparra FC381811962:4565
7Cartagena La Union381614855:3962
8Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas3816121060:4460
9Moratalla381781356:4159
10Ciudad Cieza3815101366:6155
11Santomera3814111346:4453
12Yeclano381471762:5449
13Muleno CF381432143:6445
14Futbol Club Jumilla381091945:6639
15Lorca Deportiva II381142339:5337
16Ciudad Lorca381042450:9834
17Bala Azul38892142:7133
18Club Olimpico de Totana38852541:9129
19CD Alquerias38572627:8322
20Ad Ceuti Atletico38413325:11613
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)