Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moratalla vs Ciudad Lorca

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 game between Moratalla and Ciudad Lorca finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moratalla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Moratalla
15%
Draws
0%
Ciudad Lorca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moratalla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ciudad Lorca haven't matched Moratalla's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Moratalla taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Moratalla have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 16%
Ciudad Lorca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moratalla Ciudad Lorca
Matches Played 39 33
Wins 13 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 19 28
Goals Scored 1.46 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.95 4.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Moratalla
2:7
Dec 14, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Ciudad Lorca
5:1
Jan 20, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Ciudad Lorca
2:1
Sep 2, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Moratalla
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moratalla 84 / 100
Ciudad Lorca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moratalla Ciudad Lorca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moratalla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ciudad Lorca conceded in 91% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

Ciudad Lorca's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Moratalla's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Moratalla VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moratalla

(Home)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3
UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1
Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3
Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0
Moratalla
Page 1 of 8

Ciudad Lorca

(Away)
17 May
CA Pulpileno
3 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8
Deportivo Murcia
01 May
CD Lumbreras
2 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
25 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
2 : 7
Moratalla
18 Apr
Mazarron FC
11 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 28 9 1 84:29 93
2 Sangonera 38 22 13 3 78:34 79
3 Real Murcia B 38 24 7 7 75:30 79
4 Caravaca 38 22 10 6 93:38 76
5 Pinatar 38 21 12 5 90:38 75
6 Calasparra FC 38 18 11 9 62:45 65
7 Cartagena La Union 38 16 14 8 55:39 62
8 Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas 38 16 12 10 60:44 60
9 Moratalla 38 17 8 13 56:41 59
10 Ciudad Cieza 38 15 10 13 66:61 55
11 Santomera 38 14 11 13 46:44 53
12 Yeclano 38 14 7 17 62:54 49
13 Muleno CF 38 14 3 21 43:64 45
14 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 10 9 19 45:66 39
15 Lorca Deportiva II 38 11 4 23 39:53 37
16 Ciudad Lorca 38 10 4 24 50:98 34
17 Bala Azul 38 8 9 21 42:71 33
18 Club Olimpico de Totana 38 8 5 25 41:91 29
19 CD Alquerias 38 5 7 26 27:83 22
20 Ad Ceuti Atletico 38 4 1 33 25:116 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)