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Morava Cuprija vs Djerdap - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morava Cuprija host Djerdap in the Srpska Liga - East. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Morava Cuprija have averaged 2 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Djerdap's 1.52 scored and 1.74 conceded. Past meetings favor Djerdap slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.56) point toward Djerdap. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Morava Cuprija
15%
Draws
32%
Djerdap
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morava Cuprija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Djerdap lately — more wins on the board than Morava Cuprija.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Djerdap have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Morava Cuprija Clean Sheet 15%
Djerdap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morava Cuprija Djerdap
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Morava Cuprija vs Djerdap
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Morava Cuprija
1:0
May 24, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Morava Cuprija
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Morava Cuprija vs Djerdap
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morava Cuprija 35 / 100
Djerdap 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morava Cuprija Djerdap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djerdap Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morava Cuprija scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Djerdap has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Morava Cuprija stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Djerdap registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morava Cuprija VS Djerdap
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Morava Cuprija

(Home)
03 Oct
Morava Cuprija
2 : 1
Brzi Brod
27 Sept
Malosiste
4 : 2
Morava Cuprija
19 Sept
Morava Cuprija
1 : 1
Trayal Krusevac
12 Sept
Sloga Leskovac
0 : 2
Morava Cuprija
05 Sept
Morava Cuprija
3 : 1
Vlasina
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Djerdap

(Away)
03 Oct
Djerdap
0 : 1
Malosiste
26 Sept
Trayal Krusevac
0 : 1
Djerdap
19 Sept
Djerdap
5 : 0
Sloga Leskovac
13 Sept
Vlasina
1 : 0
Djerdap
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
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