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Moravska Trebova vs Chocen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Pardubicky KP
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moravska Trebova host Chocen in the Pardubicky KP. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Chocen have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Moravska Trebova have conceded 2.66 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, Moravska Trebova have won 1 to Chocen's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 2.31, favoring Chocen. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Moravska Trebova
20%
Draws
40%
Chocen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Moravska Trebova haven't matched Chocen's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Moravska Trebova's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Pardubicky KP form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Chocen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Moravska Trebova Clean Sheet 10%
Chocen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moravska Trebova Chocen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.66 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Pardubicky KP
Chocen vs Moravska Trebova
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Pardubicky KP
Moravska Trebova vs Chocen
2:3
May 3, 2025 Pardubicky KP
Moravska Trebova vs Chocen
3:2
Oct 5, 2024 Pardubicky KP
Chocen vs Moravska Trebova
4:3
Mar 22, 2023 Pardubicky KP
Moravska Trebova vs Chocen
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moravska Trebova 65 / 100
Chocen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moravska Trebova Chocen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moravska Trebova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chocen let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Moravska Trebova's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Chocen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moravska Trebova VS Chocen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Moravska Trebova

(Home)
10 Oct
Usti nad Orlici B
1 : 3
Moravska Trebova
04 Oct
Moravska Trebova
3 : 4
Dolni Ujezd
27 Sept
SK Pardubicky
3 : 1
Moravska Trebova
20 Sept
Moravska Trebova
1 : 3
Hermanuv Mestec
13 Sept
Lanskroun
1 : 1
Moravska Trebova
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Chocen

(Away)
10 Oct
Chocen
1 : 6
Holice
03 Oct
Usti nad Orlici B
3 : 2
Chocen
26 Sept
Chocen
3 : 2
Rozhovice
20 Sept
Dolni Ujezd
3 : 0
Chocen
12 Sept
Chocen
1 : 1
Ceska Trebova
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