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Morecambe vs Scarborough Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morecambe host Scarborough Athletic in the National League North. This one's hard to separate. Scarborough Athletic have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Morecambe have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.56. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.88, favoring Scarborough Athletic. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Morecambe
30%
Draws
29%
Scarborough Athletic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morecambe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Scarborough Athletic lately — more wins on the board than Morecambe.
  • Win probability leans Morecambe's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Morecambe Clean Sheet 20%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morecambe Scarborough Athletic
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.56 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morecambe 49 / 100
Scarborough Athletic 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morecambe Scarborough Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morecambe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morecambe found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Scarborough Athletic has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Morecambe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scarborough Athletic lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morecambe VS Scarborough Athletic
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morecambe

(Home)
17 Oct
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
2 : 1
Morecambe
10 Oct
Worksop
2 : 1
Morecambe
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0
Darlington FC
26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1
Morecambe
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0
Southport
Page 1 of 6

Scarborough Athletic

(Away)
17 Oct
Hebburn Town
0 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
10 Oct
Radcliffe
4 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
06 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2
Macclesfield
03 Oct
Macclesfield
2 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
26 Sept
Brackley
1 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 11 7 3 1 17:9 24
2 Hereford 11 7 2 2 22:6 23
3 Oxford City 11 7 2 2 21:7 23
4 King’s Lynn 12 6 2 4 22:16 20
5 Chester 11 6 2 3 14:9 20
6 South Shields 11 6 2 3 18:17 20
7 Hednesford 12 5 3 4 21:19 18
8 Hebburn Town 12 5 3 4 16:21 18
9 Spalding United 11 5 2 4 14:9 17
10 Chorley 11 5 2 4 18:18 17
11 Buxton 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
12 Bedford 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
13 Worksop 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
14 Scarborough Athletic 12 4 3 5 18:16 15
15 Merthyr Town 12 3 6 3 14:13 15
16 Marine 11 5 0 6 13:12 15
17 Harborough 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
18 Brackley 12 4 3 5 15:23 15
19 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 15:11 14
20 Radcliffe 12 4 0 8 15:21 12
21 Telford 12 3 3 6 11:18 12
22 Southport 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
23 Darlington FC 12 2 2 8 14:24 8
24 Spennymoor 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)