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Morecambe vs South Shields - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Scott C.

AI Match Summary

South Shields in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Shields.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Morecambe
15%
Draws
40%
South Shields
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morecambe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • South Shields have won more games recently than Morecambe.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Morecambe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Morecambe Clean Sheet 17%
South Shields Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morecambe South Shields
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.59 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 National League North
Morecambe vs South Shields
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morecambe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

South Shields Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morecambe 41 / 100
South Shields 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morecambe South Shields

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Morecambe scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

South Shields's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

Morecambe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Morecambe VS South Shields
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Morecambe

(Home)
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0
Darlington FC
26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1
Morecambe
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0
Southport
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0
Brackley
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1
Morecambe
Page 1 of 6

South Shields

(Away)
03 Oct
Buxton
0 : 2
South Shields
29 Sept
Brackley
3 : 2
South Shields
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0
Buxton
19 Sept
South Shields
7 : 0
Witton Albion
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)