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Moreirense U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Peixoto G.
68' Event
Matos J.
90' Event
Cabral I.

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria Guimaraes U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Moreirense U19
15%
Draws
39%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moreirense U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria Guimaraes U19 have won more games recently than Moreirense U19.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Moreirense U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Moreirense U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moreirense U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Moreirense U19
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Moreirense U19
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moreirense U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Matos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Peixoto G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabral I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreirense U19 58 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moreirense U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moreirense U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moreirense U19's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vitoria Guimaraes U19 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Moreirense U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moreirense U19 VS Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moreirense U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U19
12 Sept
Braga U19
0 : 1
Moreirense U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0
Rio Ave U19
29 Aug
Moreirense U19
2 : 3
Famalicao U19
22 Aug
FC Porto U19
3 : 1
Moreirense U19
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria Guimaraes U19

(Away)
10 Oct
Gil Vicente U19
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
26 Sept
Famalicao U19
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 2
Braga U19
12 Sept
Rio Ave U19
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 0
FC Porto U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 7 5 1 1 17:6 16
2 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 8 4 1 3 8:9 13
3 Rio Ave U19 7 3 2 2 6:4 11
4 Gil Vicente U19 7 3 2 2 5:3 11
5 Braga U19 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
6 Feirense U19 7 3 1 3 5:6 10
7 Famalicao U19 8 2 2 4 8:12 8
8 Academico Viseu U19 6 2 1 3 9:6 7
9 Moreirense U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
10 Vizela U19 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Benfica U19 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
3 Oriental U19 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
4 Santa Clara U19 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
5 Torreense U19 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
6 Mafra U19 7 2 3 2 7:13 9
7 Casa Pia U19 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
8 Leiria U19 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
9 SC Farense U19 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
10 Alverca U19 7 0 3 4 7:14 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)