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Moreirense vs AFS

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Moreirense and AFS finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Moreirense
35%
Draws
35%
AFS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moreirense come out ahead of AFS on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Moreirense Clean Sheet 20%
AFS Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moreirense AFS
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 5
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Moreirense vs AFS
2:2
May 16, 2026 Liga Portugal
Moreirense vs AFS
0:0
Jan 3, 2026 Liga Portugal
AFS vs Moreirense
0:2
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
AFS vs Moreirense
0:1
May 17, 2025 Liga Portugal
AFS vs Moreirense
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreirense 36 / 100
AFS 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moreirense AFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moreirense found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: AFS conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Moreirense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moreirense VS AFS
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moreirense

(Home)
09 Aug
Moreirense
2 : 2
Braga
01 Aug
Moreirense
2 : 0
Amarante FC
25 Jul
Gil Vicente
2 : 2
Moreirense
22 Jul
Santa Clara
2 : 1
Moreirense
18 Jul
Moreirense
2 : 2
AFS
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AFS

(Away)
09 Aug
AFS
0 : 1
Sporting CP B
31 Jul
AFS
1 : 1
Trofense
29 Jul
AFS
3 : 0
SC Vianense
25 Jul
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 2
AFS
22 Jul
AFS
2 : 4
Paredes
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