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Moreton Bay Utd vs Gold Coast Knights SC

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Debele G.
Assist: King M.
77' Event
Farina J.
Assist: Anderson D.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland 2023 game between Moreton Bay Utd and Gold Coast Knights SC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Moreton Bay Utd
20%
Draws
38%
Gold Coast Knights SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moreton Bay Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Gold Coast Knights SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Moreton Bay Utd's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Moreton Bay Utd Clean Sheet 12%
Gold Coast Knights SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moreton Bay Utd Gold Coast Knights SC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0 2.38
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2023 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Moreton Bay Utd
1:0
Jun 17, 2023 NPL Queensland
Moreton Bay Utd vs Gold Coast Knights SC
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Moreton Bay Utd
2:2
Aug 20, 2022 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Moreton Bay Utd
0:2
Jul 16, 2022 NPL Queensland
Moreton Bay Utd vs Gold Coast Knights SC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moreton Bay Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Farina J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Gold Coast Knights SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Debele G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moreton Bay Utd 40 / 100
Gold Coast Knights SC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moreton Bay Utd Gold Coast Knights SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moreton Bay Utd scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Gold Coast Knights SC let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Moreton Bay Utd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gold Coast Knights SC
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gold Coast Knights SC22146245:2148
2Moreton Bay Utd22115645:2738
3Gold Coast Utd22106627:2336
4Brisbane City22105746:3035
5Queensland Lions22810437:2934
6Peninsula2297634:3034
7Rochedale22931033:3130
8Sunshine Coast Wanderers2285926:3429
9Brisbane Roar U2122831129:3727
10Redlands22751032:3326
11Olympic FC22541328:3919
12Eastern Suburbs22231722:709